Rising China

Power and Reassurance


Table of Contents

Acknowledgements
Contributors
Introduction
Reference
China's key bilateral relationships: partners or just peers?
1. The outlook for US–China relations
References
2. Closer and more balanced: China–US relations in transition
Trends of change
From limited contact to comprehensive relations
From restricted cooperation to extensive cooperation
From asymmetrical to more balanced interactions
Growing stakes, China’s rise and converging values
Growing stakes
China’s rise
Convergence of values
Challenges and constraints
Zero-sum perceptions of interest
Differences in values and political orientation
Structural uncertainties brought about by the rise of China
Prospects for development
References
3. China–Japan relations at a new juncture
I
II
III
IV
Reference
4. Japanese perspectives on the rise of China
5. Sino–Indian relations and the rise of China
Introduction
Will India and China rise relatively equally?
The effect on Sino–Indian relations
Balancing China and India–US relations
Conclusion
References
6. The rise of Chindia and its impact on the world system
I
II
III
IV
V
VI
VII
Reference
7. Sino–Russian relations in the ‘post’-Putin era
Introduction: guns and games of August
Putin’s eight years and beyond
How strategic are Sino–Russian relations?
The ordinariness and extraordinariness of Medvedev’s visit
Medvedev’s ‘Westpolitik’ through Beijing
China’s ‘old friend’ and new challenges
South Ossetia and its fallout
Russia’s story
China’s ‘independent’ foreign policy: beyond the Georgian–Russian conflict
The ‘West’s civil war’ again? Stupid!
References
Alliances, military balances and strategic policy
8. How China thinks about national security
Introduction
New thinking in China’s national security strategy
Three major tasks for China in the twenty-first century
A period of important strategic opportunity
Keeping pace with global trends and safeguarding the common interests of all mankind
New concepts of security featuring mutual trust, mutual benefit, equality and coordination
Cementing China’s friendly ties with its neighbours and building good-neighbourly relations and partnerships with them
China’s peaceful rise
Chinese views on soft and hard power
How will China work in the UN Security Council in the future?
China’s current policy towards East Asia
China can cooperate with other countries through regional institutions
China’s strategic culture and its impacts on China’s security thinking
Chinese philosophy
China’s traditional national strategic culture
China’s military strategic culture
China’s foreign strategic culture
The impact of China’s strategic culture on China–US relations
Reference
9. China’s national defence: challenges and responses
The main bases and principles of China’s national defence policy
The main challenges facing China’s national defence
Challenge one
Challenge two
Challenge three
Challenge four
Challenge five
The responses of China’s national defence policy
Response one
Response two
Response three
Response four
10. China’s defence industries: change and continuity
Defence-industrial development in China
The established Chinese defence-industrial model
Defence industrialisation and autonomy
The Chinese military-industrial complex in the late 1990s
Reforming China’s defence industry, 1997 to the present
A disappointing track record
Chinese arms production: success in spite of failed reforms?
Conclusions
References
Multilateral processes: countering or reflecting regional cleavages?
11. China’s participation in Asian multilateralism: pragmatism prevails
Introduction
China assesses the prospect of East Asian multilateralism
China’s super-activism in economic multilateralism
China’s enthusiasm for NTS multilateralism
China’s different approaches to preventive measures on security
Conclusion
References
12. Reassurance and ‘costly signals’ in China–ASEAN relations
ASEAN’s engagement of China: from the cold to the fold?
Strange bedfellows, 1980s
Decade of ‘mundane accomplishments’: 1990s
Intensification of relations: 2000–08
Future ties: trouble ahead?
References
13. ‘Architectural alternatives or alternatives to architecture?’
The Asia-Pacific Community: a case study
The problem with architecture
Structure or strategic relationships?
Conclusion
References